Post by Host on Aug 6, 2009 13:02:45 GMT -5
1. Tyson - Ever since Erin's blindside, he's been at #1. I"m giving him a 35% chance of winning, because nobody seems to be able to stop him. Although by now I would expect Gregg, Shawn, and maybe Matthew to see what Tyson's up to, I doubt they'll be able to flip a vote against him.
2. Matthew - He hasn't really done anything wrong. He seems like he can be able to play both sides and in a good position with both. He's always been near the top, but not at the top. 30% chance of winning.
3. Spencer - Spencer never writes confessionals, so I don't know what his plan is, but right now he looks like a goat that Tyson/Matthew are gonna pull with them to the finals. I'll give him a 20% chance of winning, though.
4. Shawn - Shawn's been near the bottom this whole game, but managed to squeak by each round. However, I can't see him winning that easily. I'll give him a 10% chance.
5. Gregg - I think he's doomed for 5th place, since he hasn't been in the majority since Carolina's boot. Now that Taboras have the advantage in numbers, I think Shawn & Gregg are on death row. 5% chance of winning.
6. Alex - This was a little bit of a surprise to me. Alex certainly played a good game, doing whatever it takes to make it to the next round.
Alex -2
Shawn +1
Gregg +1
Biggest Power Gain of the Round: Shawn. Tie with Gregg (both +1), but Shawn's higher. He really doesn't have much power, but his UTR strategy is working for him so far.
Biggest Power Loss of the Round: Alex. Alex was either going to the finals, or get out this round. There was no in between with him, because he's been getting by each round with only a little bit of rope left before he was gonna be cut by Tyson.
2. Matthew - He hasn't really done anything wrong. He seems like he can be able to play both sides and in a good position with both. He's always been near the top, but not at the top. 30% chance of winning.
3. Spencer - Spencer never writes confessionals, so I don't know what his plan is, but right now he looks like a goat that Tyson/Matthew are gonna pull with them to the finals. I'll give him a 20% chance of winning, though.
4. Shawn - Shawn's been near the bottom this whole game, but managed to squeak by each round. However, I can't see him winning that easily. I'll give him a 10% chance.
5. Gregg - I think he's doomed for 5th place, since he hasn't been in the majority since Carolina's boot. Now that Taboras have the advantage in numbers, I think Shawn & Gregg are on death row. 5% chance of winning.
6. Alex - This was a little bit of a surprise to me. Alex certainly played a good game, doing whatever it takes to make it to the next round.
Alex -2
Shawn +1
Gregg +1
Biggest Power Gain of the Round: Shawn. Tie with Gregg (both +1), but Shawn's higher. He really doesn't have much power, but his UTR strategy is working for him so far.
Biggest Power Loss of the Round: Alex. Alex was either going to the finals, or get out this round. There was no in between with him, because he's been getting by each round with only a little bit of rope left before he was gonna be cut by Tyson.