Post by Host on Jul 29, 2009 21:35:38 GMT -5
1. Tyson - Just dethroned Erin after she dethroned Zoe. This dude has the game wrapped up in his finger. The Failelites are like the Rotu 5. Gregg/Shawn are Vecepia/Sean and Matthew/Spencer are Neleh/Paschal. Tyson is sitting in the middle as Kathy did. I'll say he has a 30% chance of winning.
2. Matthew - Since Tyson is leaning towards siding with him & Spencer, Matthew's ranked as #2 since I would expect him to get more votes than Spencer in a F3. 15% chance of winning.
3. Spencer - The huge goat of the game. 15% chance of winning.
4. Gregg - He can possibly overthrow Tyson is his side gets chosen. I'll give him a 15% chance of winning as well.
5. Shawn - Another goat who thinks he's doing a lot better than he really is. 10% chance of winning.
6. Julie - She's the highest since Erin will probably give her 3 fossils for her Hidden Immunity Idol (plus she'll be 1/3 to her second.) 10% chance of winning.
7. Carolina - Even though Zoe targeted her, she has been in a neutral position this whole game, which is always good to be in. 5% chance of winning.
8. Alex - Alex is toast, since he's not in the Failelites.
9. Erin - RIP Luis
Biggest Power Gain of the Round: Gregg. Tie between him & Shawn (both moved up +4), but Gregg's up higher, so he wins it. He was doomed to go after Zoe was booted, but he seems to have regained his position in the game. Good for him.
Biggest Power Loss of the Round: Erin, she had a huge fall from first to last. I feel bad, cause Luis <3 But I guess Shawn gets his wishes in beating the "Elite Cult." She's definitely a strong player, but was just screwed by being a threat.
2. Matthew - Since Tyson is leaning towards siding with him & Spencer, Matthew's ranked as #2 since I would expect him to get more votes than Spencer in a F3. 15% chance of winning.
3. Spencer - The huge goat of the game. 15% chance of winning.
4. Gregg - He can possibly overthrow Tyson is his side gets chosen. I'll give him a 15% chance of winning as well.
5. Shawn - Another goat who thinks he's doing a lot better than he really is. 10% chance of winning.
6. Julie - She's the highest since Erin will probably give her 3 fossils for her Hidden Immunity Idol (plus she'll be 1/3 to her second.) 10% chance of winning.
7. Carolina - Even though Zoe targeted her, she has been in a neutral position this whole game, which is always good to be in. 5% chance of winning.
8. Alex - Alex is toast, since he's not in the Failelites.
9. Erin - RIP Luis
Biggest Power Gain of the Round: Gregg. Tie between him & Shawn (both moved up +4), but Gregg's up higher, so he wins it. He was doomed to go after Zoe was booted, but he seems to have regained his position in the game. Good for him.
Biggest Power Loss of the Round: Erin, she had a huge fall from first to last. I feel bad, cause Luis <3 But I guess Shawn gets his wishes in beating the "Elite Cult." She's definitely a strong player, but was just screwed by being a threat.